Portland General Electric Announces Third Quarter 2016 Results
-
Carty Generating Station (Carty ) is operating exceptionally well -
Draft 2016 Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) is available and final will
be filed with the
Oregon Public Utility Commission (OPUC) in mid-November - Based upon retail deliveries year-to-date, full-year retail load growth guidance has been reduced from 1 percent to zero
-
Reaffirming 2016 earnings guidance of
$2.05 -$2.20 per share
"We are reaffirming our guidance of
Company Updates
PGE placed
PGE continues to pursue legal action against
Integrated Resource Plan
PGE is finalizing its 2016 IRP and expects to file it with the OPUC in
mid-November. The plan continues to reflect a shift to a less
carbon-intensive supply portfolio consistent with the new
The proposed four-year Action Plan associated with the draft IRP includes a minimum of 135 MWa of new cost-effective energy efficiency, 77 MW of new demand response, and the addition of approximately 175 MWa in new qualifying renewable resources. The plan also identifies the need for up to 850 MW of new capacity resources, which includes 375-550 MW of long-term dispatchable resources and up to 400 MW of annual (or seasonal equivalent) capacity resources, to meet reliability needs.
The final IRP plan filed with the OPUC may include modifications to the draft. Acknowledgment of the 2016 IRP is targeted for mid-2017. Upon acknowledgment, PGE will request approval from the OPUC to issue one or more Requests for Proposals to acquire needed resources.
Weather-adjusted load growth forecast flat for 2016
PGE is reducing its prior full-year 2016 load growth estimate from 1 percent to flat in comparison to 2015, weather-adjusted and excluding one large paper company. This change is driven by decreased full-year growth expectations for the commercial and industrial sectors due to lower third quarter actual deliveries. Industrial growth in the high tech sector has slowed from the rapid increases seen in recent years and, in 2016, these increases were offset by decreases in deliveries to metals and solar manufacturing customers resulting from operational changes and layoffs announced earlier in the year. In addition, energy efficiency continues to impact growth, with building codes and standards likely reducing energy deliveries beyond the impact of energy efficiency programs. Despite weakness in deliveries growth for 2016, economic fundamentals remain strong, including continued population growth in PGE's service area, low unemployment rates and a robust underlying industrial sector, all of which support future growth.
Third quarter operating results
| Earnings Reconciliation of Q3 2015 to Q3 2016 | |||||||||||||||
| Pre-Tax |
Diluted |
||||||||||||||
| (in $millions, except EPS) | Income | Net Income* |
EPS** |
||||||||||||
| Reported Q3 2015 | $ | 44 | $ | 36 | $ | 0.40 | |||||||||
| Revenue Adjustments | |||||||||||||||
| Electric retail average price increase | 15 | 9 | 0.10 | ||||||||||||
| Electric retail volume decrease | (34 | ) | (21 | ) | (0.23 | ) | |||||||||
| Decoupling refund deferral | 9 | 5 | 0.06 | ||||||||||||
| Electric wholesale volume and price decrease | 19 | 11 | 0.13 | ||||||||||||
| Other revenue decreases | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | (0.01 | ) | |||||||||
| Change in Revenue | 8 | 3 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||
| Power Cost Adjustments | |||||||||||||||
| Average power cost decrease | 4 | 3 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Increase in purchased power and generation | (5 | ) | (3 | ) | (0.03 | ) | |||||||||
| Other power cost decreases | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Change in Power Costs | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||
| O&M Adjustments | |||||||||||||||
| Generation, transmission, distribution | (5 | ) | (2 | ) | (0.03 | ) | |||||||||
| Administrative and general | (4 | ) | (2 | ) | (0.03 | ) | |||||||||
| Change in O&M | (9 | ) | (4 | ) | (0.06 | ) | |||||||||
| Adjustments to Other Items | |||||||||||||||
| Depreciation & amortization | (3 | ) | (2 | ) | (0.02 | ) | |||||||||
| AFDC equity*** | (2 | ) | (2 | ) | (0.02 | ) | |||||||||
| Gain on non-qualified benefit trust | 2 | 2 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Taxes other than income taxes | (1 | ) | (1 | ) | (0.01 | ) | |||||||||
| Adjustment for effective vs statutory tax rate | 1 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||
| Change in Other Items | (4 | ) | (2 | ) | (0.02 | ) | |||||||||
| Reported Q3 2016 | $ | 40 | $ | 34 | $ | 0.38 | |||||||||
| * After tax adjustments based on PGE's statutory tax rate of 39.5% |
| ** Some values may not foot due to rounding |
| *** Statutory tax rate does not apply to AFDC equity |
Total revenues for the three months ended
The change in retail revenues resulted from the following:
-
A
$19 million decrease resulting from a$34 million reduction in revenue related to 7.6% lower retail energy deliveries due to unfavorable weather conditions and a decrease in deliveries to commercial and industrial customers, partly offset by an increase of$15 million that resulted from customer price changes. Energy deliveries to residential and commercial customers decreased 7.5% and 5.7%, respectively, due in part to the effects of more moderate weather, and energy deliveries to industrial customers decreased 10.8%, largely due to the closure of a large paper customer that ceased operations in late 2015. PGE's 2016 GRC took the loss of this customer into consideration and incorporated its effects into prices and load forecasts resulting in minimal impact on net income; and -
Supplemental tariffs decreased
$5 million as a$7 million reduction in collection, which ended in 2015, for certain capital projects was partly offset by increases of$2 million for the combination of property sales gains in 2015 and the timing of the Trojan spent fuel refund to customers; partially offset by -
An
$11 million increase resulted from other tariffs including a$9 million increase in estimated collections under the decoupling mechanism.
Net variable power costs (NVPC) (purchased power and fuel
expense, net of wholesale revenues) for the three months ended
Generation, transmission and distribution expense increased
Administrative and other expense increased
Depreciation and amortization expense increased
Other income, net remained flat for three months ended
Income tax expense was
2016 earnings guidance
PGE is reaffirming its revised 2016 guidance of
- Flat retail load for the full-year, weather-adjusted and excluding one large paper company;
- Average hydro conditions for the remainder of the year;
- Wind generation for the remainder of the year based on 5 years of historic levels or forecast studies when historical data is not available;
- Normal thermal plant operations;
-
Operating and maintenance costs between
$515 and$535 million ; and -
Depreciation and amortization expense between
$315 and$325 million .
Third Quarter 2016 earnings call and web cast —
PGE will host a conference call with financial analysts and investors on
The attached unaudited condensed consolidated statements of income, condensed consolidated balance sheets, and condensed consolidated statements of cash flows, as well as the supplemental operating statistics, are an integral part of this earnings release.
About
Safe Harbor Statement
Statements in this news release that relate to future plans, objectives,
expectations, performance, events and the like may constitute
"forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities
Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act
of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements include statements
regarding earnings guidance; statements regarding the expected capital
costs for the
POR-F
Source:
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|||||||||||||||||
| CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME | |||||||||||||||||
|
(In millions, except per share amounts) |
|||||||||||||||||
|
(Unaudited) |
|||||||||||||||||
| Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | ||||||||||||||||
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|
|
||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | ||||||||||||||
| Revenues, net | $ | 484 | $ | 476 | $ | 1,399 | $ | 1,399 | |||||||||
| Operating expenses: | |||||||||||||||||
| Purchased power and fuel | 180 | 181 | 455 | 490 | |||||||||||||
| Generation, transmission and distribution | 69 | 64 | 199 | 192 | |||||||||||||
| Administrative and other | 63 | 59 | 185 | 179 | |||||||||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 79 | 76 | 244 | 227 | |||||||||||||
| Taxes other than income taxes | 29 | 28 | 89 | 86 | |||||||||||||
| Total operating expenses | 420 | 408 | 1,172 | 1,174 | |||||||||||||
| Income from operations | 64 | 68 | 227 | 225 | |||||||||||||
| Interest expense (1) | 28 | 28 | 82 | 86 | |||||||||||||
| Other income: | |||||||||||||||||
| Allowance for equity funds used during construction | 4 | 6 | 19 | 15 | |||||||||||||
| Miscellaneous income, net | — | (2 | ) | — | — | ||||||||||||
| Other income, net | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | |||||||||||||
| Income before income tax expense | 40 | 44 | 164 | 154 | |||||||||||||
| Income tax expense | 6 | 8 | 32 | 33 | |||||||||||||
| Net income and Comprehensive income | $ | 34 | $ | 36 | $ | 132 | 121 | ||||||||||
| Weighted-average shares outstanding (in thousands): | |||||||||||||||||
| Basic | 88,921 | 88,766 | 88,885 | 82,633 | |||||||||||||
| Diluted | 88,921 | 88,766 | 88,885 | 82,633 | |||||||||||||
| Earnings per share: | |||||||||||||||||
| Basic | $ | 0.38 | $ | 0.40 | $ | 1.49 | $ | 1.47 | |||||||||
| Diluted | $ | 0.38 | $ | 0.40 | $ | 1.49 | $ | 1.47 | |||||||||
| Dividends declared per common share | $ | 0.32 | $ | 0.30 | $ | 0.94 | $ | 0.88 | |||||||||
|
(1) Net of an allowance for borrowed funds used during construction
of |
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||||||||
| CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS | ||||||||
|
(In millions) |
||||||||
|
(Unaudited) |
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|
|||||||
| 2016 | 2015 | |||||||
|
ASSETS |
||||||||
| Current assets: | ||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 88 | $ | 4 | ||||
| Accounts receivable, net | 140 | 158 | ||||||
| Unbilled revenues | 60 | 95 | ||||||
| Inventories | 82 | 83 | ||||||
| Regulatory assets—current | 65 | 129 | ||||||
| Other current assets | 41 | 88 | ||||||
| Total current assets | 476 | 557 | ||||||
| Electric utility plant, net | 6,340 | 6,012 | ||||||
| Regulatory assets—noncurrent | 515 | 524 | ||||||
| Nuclear decommissioning trust | 41 | 40 | ||||||
| Non-qualified benefit plan trust | 34 | 33 | ||||||
| Other noncurrent assets | 49 | 44 | ||||||
| Total assets | $ | 7,455 | $ | 7,210 | ||||
|
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY |
||||||||
| Current liabilities: | ||||||||
| Accounts payable | $ | 112 | $ | 98 | ||||
| Liabilities from price risk management activities - current | 66 | 130 | ||||||
| Short-term debt | — | 6 | ||||||
| Current portion of long-term debt | — | 133 | ||||||
| Accrued expenses and other current liabilities | 270 | 259 | ||||||
| Total current liabilities | 448 | 626 | ||||||
| Long-term debt, net of current portion | 2,325 | 2,060 | ||||||
| Regulatory liabilities—noncurrent | 958 | 928 | ||||||
| Deferred income taxes | 644 | 632 | ||||||
| Unfunded status of pension and postretirement plans | 267 | 259 | ||||||
| Liabilities from price risk management activities - noncurrent | 163 | 161 | ||||||
| Asset retirement obligations | 156 | 151 | ||||||
| Non-qualified benefit plan liabilities | 105 | 106 | ||||||
| Other noncurrent liabilities | 79 | 29 | ||||||
| Total liabilities | 5,145 | 4,952 | ||||||
| Total equity | 2,310 | 2,258 | ||||||
| Total liabilities and equity | $ | 7,455 | $ | 7,210 | ||||
|
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||||||||||
| CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS | ||||||||||
|
(In millions) |
||||||||||
|
(Unaudited) |
||||||||||
| Nine Months Ended | ||||||||||
|
|
||||||||||
| 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||
| Cash flows from operating activities: | ||||||||||
| Net income | $ | 132 | $ | 121 | ||||||
| Depreciation and amortization | 244 | 227 | ||||||||
| Other non-cash income and expenses, net included in Net income | 28 | 70 | ||||||||
| Changes in working capital | 122 | 44 | ||||||||
| Other, net | (29 | ) | (23 | ) | ||||||
| Net cash provided by operating activities | 497 | 439 | ||||||||
| Cash flows from investing activities: | ||||||||||
| Capital expenditures | (454 | ) | (452 | ) | ||||||
| Distribution from Nuclear decommissioning trust | — | 50 | ||||||||
|
Sales tax refund received related to |
— | 23 | ||||||||
| Other, net | — | 2 | ||||||||
| Net cash used in investing activities | (454 | ) | (377 | ) | ||||||
| Cash flows from financing activities: | ||||||||||
| Proceeds from issuance of common stock, net of issuance costs | — | 271 | ||||||||
| Net (payments) issuances of long-term debt | 132 | (297 | ) | |||||||
| Payments on short-term debt | (6 | ) | — | |||||||
| Dividends paid | (82 | ) | (70 | ) | ||||||
| Other | (3 | ) | (1 | ) | ||||||
| Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities | 41 | (97 | ) | |||||||
| Increase (Decrease) in cash and cash equivalents | 84 | (35 | ) | |||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period | 4 | 127 | ||||||||
| Cash and cash equivalents, end of period | $ | 88 | $ | 92 | ||||||
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||||||||||||||||||||
| SUPPLEMENTAL OPERATING STATISTICS | ||||||||||||||||||||
|
(Unaudited) |
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| Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||||||
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| 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||||||
| Revenues (dollars in millions): | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Retail: | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Residential | $ | 203 | $ | 213 | $ | 648 | $ | 647 | ||||||||||||
| Commercial | 170 | 176 | 492 | 498 | ||||||||||||||||
| Industrial | 54 | 59 | 153 | 172 | ||||||||||||||||
| Subtotal | 427 | 448 | 1,293 | 1,317 | ||||||||||||||||
| Other retail revenues, net | 1 | (9 | ) | 5 | (11 | ) | ||||||||||||||
| Total retail revenues | 428 | 439 | 1,298 | 1,306 | ||||||||||||||||
| Wholesale revenues | 48 | 29 | 74 | 66 | ||||||||||||||||
| Other operating revenues | 8 | 8 | 27 | 27 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total revenues | $ | 484 | $ | 476 | $ | 1,399 | $ | 1,399 | ||||||||||||
| Energy sold and delivered (MWh in thousands): | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Retail energy sales: | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Residential | 1,618 | 1,749 | 5,278 | 5,308 | ||||||||||||||||
| Commercial | 1,751 | 1,862 | 5,148 | 5,246 | ||||||||||||||||
| Industrial | 754 | 871 | 2,168 | 2,563 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total retail energy sales | 4,123 | 4,482 | 12,594 | 13,117 | ||||||||||||||||
| Retail energy deliveries: | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial | 141 | 145 | 403 | 401 | ||||||||||||||||
| Industrial | 301 | 312 | 907 | 875 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total retail energy deliveries | 442 | 457 | 1,310 | 1,276 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total retail energy sales and deliveries | 4,565 | 4,939 | 13,904 | 14,393 | ||||||||||||||||
| Wholesale energy deliveries | 1,360 | 836 | 2,621 | 1,954 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total energy sold and delivered | 5,925 | 5,775 | 16,525 | 16,347 | ||||||||||||||||
| Number of retail customers at end of period: | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Residential | 754,149 | 744,172 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Commercial | 108,063 | 106,892 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Industrial | 206 | 197 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Direct access | 374 | 389 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total retail customers | 862,792 | 851,650 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Heating Degree-days | Cooling Degree-days | |||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 2015 | Average* | 2016 | 2015 | Average* | |||||||||||||
| First quarter | 1,585 | 1,481 | 1,866 | — | — | — | ||||||||||||
| Second quarter | 403 | 513 | 689 | 154 | 207 | 70 | ||||||||||||
| July | 3 | — | 9 | 140 | 287 | 163 | ||||||||||||
| August | 3 | — | 8 | 224 | 235 | 168 | ||||||||||||
| September | 72 | 76 | 61 | 30 | 51 | 68 | ||||||||||||
| Third quarter | 78 | 76 | 78 | 394 | 573 | 399 | ||||||||||||
| Year to Date | 2,066 | 2,070 | 2,633 | 548 | 780 | 469 | ||||||||||||
|
* — "Average" amounts represent the 15-year rolling average
calculated from data provided by the |
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| SUPPLEMENTAL OPERATING STATISTICS, continued | ||||||||||||||||
|
(Unaudited) |
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| Three Months Ended | Nine Months Ended | |||||||||||||||
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| 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | |||||||||||||
| Sources of energy (MWh in thousands): | ||||||||||||||||
| Generation: | ||||||||||||||||
| Thermal: | ||||||||||||||||
| Coal | 1,418 | 1,445 | 2,535 | 2,656 | ||||||||||||
| Natural gas | 2,243 | 1,702 | 4,017 | 3,356 | ||||||||||||
| Total thermal | 3,661 | 3,147 | 6,552 | 6,012 | ||||||||||||
| Hydro | 267 | 267 | 1,214 | 1,063 | ||||||||||||
| Wind | 570 | 568 | 1,559 | 1,371 | ||||||||||||
| Total generation | 4,498 | 3,982 | 9,325 | 8,446 | ||||||||||||
| Purchased power: | ||||||||||||||||
| Term | 913 | 1,260 | 5,355 | 5,997 | ||||||||||||
| Hydro | 322 | 326 | 1,160 | 1,239 | ||||||||||||
| Wind | 91 | 88 | 241 | 241 | ||||||||||||
| Total purchased power | 1,326 | 1,674 | 6,756 | 7,477 | ||||||||||||
| Total system load | 5,824 | 5,656 | 16,081 | 15,923 | ||||||||||||
| Less: wholesale sales | (1,360 | ) | (836 | ) | (2,621 | ) | (1,954 | ) | ||||||||
| Retail load requirement | 4,464 | 4,820 | 13,460 | 13,969 | ||||||||||||
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